Market Overview

Inflation continues to head lower, but not at the desired pace. And, as market volatility rises, investors should try and readjust their portfolios. The 60/40 portfolio is a great way to do that as it...

Straight from the playbook of Logan Roy's kids. Good for XAU/USD?

There is a lot of important economic data to look forward to at the end of this week, including the release of GDP figures on Thursday and the PCE on Friday, along with the employment cost index and...

Nowcasting the business cycle isn’t getting any easier. Despite a firehose of data and an expanding list of analytical techniques, benchmarks, and related research at researchers’...

What can breakeven inflation rates tell us about oil prices, energy stocks, and market direction? It turns out it’s a lot more than you think.Since 2021, as the impact of an economic shutdown...

House Speaker Kevin McCarthy and GOP leaders unveiled a bill that, in theory, temporarily solves the debt-ceiling crisis that’s brewing. In practice, the path ahead is probably no less...

Bill Ackman is a billionaire and founder of the London-based Pershing Square Capital Management, known for making profitable investments. His portfolio currently focuses on companies that generate...

In yesterday’s post, I profiled my thinking on the big-picture outlook for estimating the risk associated with the debt-ceiling battle that’s brewing in Washington. To round out this...

US yields are rising across the curve but T-bills are at the intersection of a better economic outlook and a debt ceiling. Sterling rates are now offering a pick-up to dollar equivalents. This makes...

The answer relies heavily, perhaps completely, on political calculations. In other words, trying to forecast how the tortured path ahead evolves is only a bit easier than trying to grab fish in a...

Markets are still waiting for the data smoking gun that proves that a recession is coming and that inflation is a problem of the past. Until then, rates should continue to rise toward the top of their...

In this piece, we’re going to run through some of last week’s important data releases.Let’s dive right in.1. New York Fed Global Supply China Pressures Index vs. U.S. CPI YoY%Another...

S&P 500's market breadth is positive, signaling a bullish outlook for the index. Meanwhile, the 60/40 portfolio continues to make a comeback. Despite this, bearish sentiment continues to remain...

Hedge funds are often called fast or smart money because they are one step ahead of herd market thinking.I am blessed with the opportunity to have several of them as clients, and pick up their brains...