Market Overview

The complex details of SVB's failure are still unknown, and the current state of affairs is driven by emotions Bond market volatility has risen to levels not seen since the Great Financial Crisis and...

March has historically been a graveyard for stock market predictions  As the situation in global markets grows increasingly uncertain, could we be looking at a repeat?   While the Fed...

The collapse of the Silicon Valley Bank rattled the markets, but the consequences are yet to be felt. In this report, we dive deeper into why we believe this is a systematic problem and why it creates...

Fear, greed and bias reinforcement sell. Reality, at any given time? Not so much. A look at stocks, commodities, inflation, gold and silver through a contrary lens.As I continue to get more...

Inflation trades are fading and gold (NYSE:GLD) is ascending to its rightful place in the disinflationary macro.The favored plan is working out well as we planned the Q4 (2022) – Q1 (2023) rally...

As portfolio managers, this is the question we ask ourselves daily. Since the lows of last October, the technical backdrop has improved markedly, as we discussed last week: “Our most critical...

Market pressures on U.S. banks are now spreading to Europe, where the already troubled Credit Suisse (NYSE:CS) asked the Swiss government for help and got a liquidity boost.Investors are asking the...

The stock market forever surprises investors, but in the realm of risk, the future’s a bit less uncertain, at least sometimes. That’s hardly a silver bullet, but it helps manage...

Since projecting the Q4-Q1 broad market rally back in November, we have been managing a macro transition within this rally. Based on the leadership of the Semiconductor sector and Tech, it has been...

If a couple of regional banks were so bad at managing their interest rate risk and deposit outflow risk to blow up in a few hours, how can we really be sure other banks won’t face similar...

With the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, questions of potential “bank runs” spread among regional banks.“Bank runs” are problematic in today’s financial system due to...

SVB failed due to higher interest rates and a liquidity problem Despite the failure, today's situation is different from 2008, with lower bank leverage, safer investments, and Fed support This, in...

Understandably, a lot of inexperienced traders might struggle to survive, let alone thrive, in this market environment. But paradoxically, it is exactly times like now when some experienced traders...

Over the past week, the financial world has been rocked by the news of Silicon Valley Bank's failure - the largest bank to go under since the 2008 financial crisis.The shock announcement came last...