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GLOBAL MARKETS-Asia shares turn wary, U.S. inflation next hurdle

Published 12/06/2019, 07:10
Updated 12/06/2019, 07:20
GLOBAL MARKETS-Asia shares turn wary, U.S. inflation next hurdle
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* Asian stock markets : https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4
* Asian share indices slip after two days of gains
* Trump holding up China deal, talks down Fed rates and
dollar
* Chinese inflation subdued ex-food, U.S. CPI due next
* Oil prices turn lower again on demand concerns

By Wayne Cole
SYDNEY, June 12 (Reuters) - Asian share markets were in a
defensive crouch on Wednesday as the White House took a tough
line on trade talks with China, while a looming reading on U.S.
inflation could scramble the odds for an early cut in interest
rates there.
Data on Chinese inflation showed the annual pace picked up
to a 15-month high of 2.7%, but mainly because of surging pork
prices. Excluding food, inflation rose only 1.6% and suggested
there was plenty of scope for more stimulus.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
.MIAPJ0000PUS slipped 0.6% after two days of gains.
Japan's Nikkei .N225 dipped 0.3%, while Shanghai blue
chips .CSI300 eased 0.7% following a 3% jump the day before.
E-Mini futures for the S&P 500 ESc1 fell 0.2% and EUROSTOXX
futures STXEc1 lost 0.5%.
The Hong Kong market .HSI lost 1.7% as thousands of
demonstrators stormed roads next to government offices to
protest against a proposed extradition bill.
"The impact was short lived in the past," noted Alex Wong,
director at Ample Finance Group in Hong Kong.
"This time people will look at how the U.S. reacts to this
kind of news. The U.S. attitude towards Hong Kong and China are
also not the same."
President Donald Trump said on Tuesday he was holding up a
trade deal with China and had no interest in moving ahead unless
Beijing agrees to four or five "major points" which he did not
specify. He also took aim at the Federal Reserve, saying interest
rates were "way too high" and the central bank had "no clue".
Fed policymakers will meet on June 18-19 against the
backdrop of rising trade tensions, slowing U.S. growth and a
sharp step-down in hiring in May that have led markets to price
in at least two rate cuts by the end of 2019.
Futures FEDWATCH imply around an 80% chance of an easing
as soon as July.
That might change depending on what U.S. consumer price data
show later in the session. Headline inflation is seen slowing a
touch to 1.9%, with core steady at 2.1%.
All the uncertainty around trade saw Wall Street break a
six-day winning streak to end flat on Tuesday. The Dow .DJI
eased a tiny 0.05%, while the S&P 500 .SPX lost 0.03% and the
Nasdaq .IXIC 0.01%.

TALK DOWN
Trump also put currency markets on edge by tweeting that the
euro and other currencies were "devalued" against the dollar,
putting the United States at a "big disadvantage".
That was enough to give the euro a lift to $1.1336 EUR= ,
just short of the recent three-month top of $1.1347. The dollar
eased back a touch on the yen to 108.38 JPY= and stalled on a
basket of currencies at 96.683 .DXY .
"It is one thing talking down a USD that has an upward bias,
it is another pushing on a currency market where the door is
slowly opening toward USD weakness," said Alan Ruskin, global
head of G10 FX strategy at Deutsche Bank.
"The President's tweets on the USD have the potential to
have much more lasting impact in the coming election year," he
cautioned. "Global conditions are nicely set for what has
colourfully been described as a 'currency war' or a currency
race to 'the bottom'."
In commodity markets, all the chatter of rate cuts globally
kept gold near 14-month highs at $1,335.51 per ounce XAU= .
Oil prices eased as concerns about a global economic
slowdown offset wagers that OPEC and its allies will extend
their supply curbs. O/R
Hedge fund managers have been liquidating bullish oil
positions at the fastest rate since late 2018 amid increasing
economic fears. Brent crude LCOc1 futures fell 98 cents to $61.31, while
U.S. crude CLc1 lost 92 cents to $52.35 a barrel.

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Asia stock markets https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4
Asia-Pacific valuations https://tmsnrt.rs/2Dr2BQA
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(Editing by Simon Cameron-Moore)

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