GLOBAL MARKETS-Shares struggle for footing after virus-battered week

Published 31/01/2020, 10:25
Updated 31/01/2020, 10:27
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Shares struggle for footing after virus-battered week

* World share index heads for worst week since August

* Nikkei bounces 1%, Europe 0.3%, both still down sharply

for week

* Oil and copper prices set for worst month since May

* China Jan PMI at 50 as expected, services stronger

* WHO confident China steps will contain virus

* Amazon surges 11% as sales beat forecasts

* Pound perky on Brexit day

By Marc Jones and Wayne Cole

LONDON/SYDNEY, Jan 31 (Reuters) - World share markets fought

to regain their footing on Friday as investors clutched at hopes

that China could contain the coronavirus, even as headlines

spoke of more cases and deaths, travel bans, evacuations and

factory shutdowns.

Europe opened 0.3% higher .STOXX .EU following a bounce

in Tokyo, but did little to repair what has been the most

turbulent and costly week for many markets since August.

The World Health Organization on Thursday labelled the virus

a global emergency. Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, WHO director-general, said the

greatest worry was the potential for the virus to infect

countries with weaker health systems, though his praise for

China's response seemed to steady markets. MSCI's broadest index of of world shares .MIWD00000PUS got

back to flat. Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS

extended their fall, however, dropping 0.4%, and appeared set

for their worst weekly loss in a year, of 4.6%. Thursday's 2.3%

dive was the sharpest one-day loss in six months.

Japan's Nikkei .N225 bounced 1%, but was off 2.6% for the

week. Hong Kong's Hang Seng .HSI drifted 0.3% lower and has

shed 9% in two weeks. Korea's Kospi .KS11 had its worst week

in 15 months, losing 5.6%.

"The coronavirus is outweighing everything else," said

Francesca Fornasari, head of currency solutions at Insight

Investments.

"We have seen quite a position unwind and ... whatever is

coming out in terms of data is for the period when the virus

hadn't become quite such a big issue."

WALL STREET SET TO SLIP

Wall Street's S&P 500 futures ESc1 turned red again in

Europe, having rebounded as much 0.5% overnight.

It had been supported by surveys showing Chinese

manufacturing activity came in much as expected in January while

services actually firmed, though this was likely before the

virus took full hold. Indeed, reports that some Chinese provinces were asking

companies not to re-start until Feb. 10 after the New Year

holiday suggested activity would take a hard knock this month.

"Some shorts covered after the director gave the WHO's stamp

of approval to China's aggressive containment effort," said

Stephen Innes, Asia Pacific market strategist at AxiCorp.

"For now, the market's risk lights have shifted from

flickering on red to a steady shade of amber."

Sentiment received a boost when Amazon's AMZN.O sales blew

past forecasts and sent its stock soaring 11% after hours,

adding over $100 billion in market value.

Still, the flow of news on the virus remained bleak with

China's Hubei province reporting deaths from the disease had

risen by 42 to 204 as of the end of Jan. 30. More airlines curtailed flights into and out of China and

companies temporarily closed operations, while Washington told

citizens not to travel to any part of China.

JPMorgan shaved its forecast for global growth by 0.3%

points for this quarter.

"Based on the patterns observed from other epidemics, we

assume that the outbreak will likely run its course over 2-3

months, meaning the hit to activity happens in the current

quarter," JPMorgan analysts said in a note.

"Also in line with historical experience, we expect a full

recovery to follow."

STERLING RISING

Safe-haven bonds were well bid, with yields on U.S. 10-year

Treasuries US10YT=RR down 9 basis points for the week so far

and near four-month lows.

The yield curve between three-month bills and 10-year notes

has inverted twice this week, a bearish economic signal.

In currencies, sterling extended gains after jumping on

Thursday when the Bank of England confounded market expectations

by not getting anywhere near an interest rate cut. GBP/

The pound was last at $1.313898 GBP=D3 , a relatively solid

performance given that Friday is the day the UK officially

leaves the European Union after years of political turmoil.

The dollar took a knock overnight when data showed the U.S.

economy had grown at its slowest annual pace in three years and

personal consumption weakened sharply. Yet it was up a fraction on the yen on Friday at 109.03

JPY= and stronger on the euro at $1.1016 EUR= .

Most of the action this week has been nervous investors

selling emerging currencies for dollars and yen, leaving the

majors little changed against each other. EMRG/FRX

Spot gold was only just up for the week at $1,573.72 per

ounce XAU= , having failed to get much of a safe-haven bid as a

range of other commodities, from copper to soy beans, were

hammered by worries over Chinese demand.

Oil bounced on short covering, after hitting its lowest in

three months as the global spread of the coronavirus threatened

to curb demand for fuel. O/R

U.S. crude CLc1 regained 89 cents to $53.03 a barrel,

while Brent crude LCOc1 futures rose 83 cents to $59.12.

They are down almost 10% on the month though, despite the

spike at the start of the month caused by the U.S. killing of

Iran's top military commander.

Asia stock markets https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

Asia-Pacific valuations https://tmsnrt.rs/2Dr2BQA

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