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GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks grind higher as investors cling to trade truce hopes

Published 09/10/2019, 12:38
Updated 09/10/2019, 12:40
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks grind higher as investors cling to trade truce hopes
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* China, U.S. officials meet this week for crunch talks

* European, U.S. stocks recover after recent falls

* China's yuan gains 0.5% in offshore markets

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

(Recasts, adds new details, quotes)

By Tommy Wilkes

LONDON, Oct 9 (Reuters) - Stocks gained on Wednesday as

investors clung to hopes that the United States and China could

yet agree some sort of trade deal, while the prospect of a

last-minute Brexit agreement between the European Union and

Britain seemed as remote as ever.

Markets have begun October in a nervous mood, and this week

has seen investors dump stocks on concern the U.S.-China

conflict over trade and foreign policy is nowhere near a

resolution and is increasingly damaging the global economy.

With a little more than three weeks until Britain is

scheduled to leave the EU, both sides launched into a blame game

over the lack of agreement on the terms of their divorce, giving

investors more to worry about.

But European shares managed to find a floor, with the

pan-regional Euro STOXX .STOXX extending gains after a media

report said China was open to a partial trade deal with the U.S.

despite the recent blacklisting of Chinese technology firms.

Germany's DAX .GDAXI strengthened 0.96%, France's CAC 40

.FCHI 0.77% and Britain's FTSE 100 .FTSE 0.6%. U.S. stock

futures ESc1 rose 0.87%, recovering some of the benchmark S&P

500's .SPX drop on Tuesday. "The market is reacting to news China may be open to a

partial deal with the U.S. and it seems they want to avoid the

increase in tariffs which will happen on Oct. 15," said Justin

Onuekwusi, fund manager at Legal and General Investment

Management.

"But a broad agreement doesn't seem to be on the cards given

the relationship between the U.S. and China seems to have

deteriorated in recent weeks. It looks like the trade talks in

coming days might be a bit of a waste of time."

Washington and Beijing are engaged in a year-long row that

has expanded beyond trade policy, suggesting even more damage to

a global economy that is already showing signs of slowing.

Hopes that the two sides could reach a truce this week faded

after President Donald Trump's administration introduced visa

restrictions on Chinese officials and added more Chinese

companies to a U.S. trade blacklist.

A U.S. official said high-level trade talks would still take

place on Thursday and Friday as planned, but Trump has said

tariffs on Chinese imports will rise on Oct. 15 if no progress

is made in the negotiations.

Oil prices snapped their losing streak and rebounded as

traders bet any easing of the U.S.-China tensions would benefit

global oil demand. O/R

The U.S. Treasury yield curve steepened after U.S. Federal

Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signalled further interest rate cuts

and the resumption of bond purchases following a recent spike in

money-market rates. TALKS

In Europe, talks between the European Union and Britain over

an agreement to cover London's departure from the EU on Oct. 31

appeared to be going nowhere. British lawmakers have voted to force Prime Minister Boris

Johnson to seek an extension to the departure date if he cannot

agree a deal, but the prospect of further prolonged political

uncertainty is worrying investors.

Sterling jumped after a British newspaper report said that

the EU would make a major concession in the negotiations, but

the gains were quickly unwound as EU sources denied it. The

pound was last down marginally on the day at $1.2214 GBP=D3 .

Many economists say markets have already priced in the

failure to reach a deal.

"In the interminably tedious EU-UK divorce process, things

are getting uninteresting. Tweets are being fired. Latin quotes

are being sent out. Markets did not expect a deal to be done,

and so should remain indifferent (unless it looks as if a

no-deal exit will be introduced in defiance of legislation),"

said UBS economist Paul Donovan.

With some semblance of risk appetite returning, the

safe-haven dollar fell, shedding 0.2% against the euro to

$1.0979 EUR= .

The offshore yuan, which fell on Tuesday, recovered 0.5% to

7.1311 yuan per dollar CNH=EBS .

Sweden's crown weakened to another decade low against the

euro EURSEK= . Scandinavian currencies have been buffeted by

concerns about a global trade slowdown, and the Norwegian crown

NOK= EURNOK= this week hit a more than decade low.

In bond markets, U.S. Treasury US10YT=RR and euro zone

government bond yields DE10YT=RR ticked higher as investors

happy to take on some more risk sold out of safer assets.

Spot gold prices succumbed to selling pressure and were last

down at $1,501 XAU= . Brent crude futures rallied 0.79% to $58.70 a barrel

LCOc1 , reversing earlier falls. U.S. West Texas Intermediate

crude increased 0.8% in price to $53.05 CLc1 .

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