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GLOBAL MARKETS-Virus anxiety weighs on Asian stocks, boosts safe-haven bid

Published 30/01/2020, 02:38
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Virus anxiety weighs on Asian stocks, boosts safe-haven bid
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* U.S. Fed unhappy with inflation under 2%

* Virus death toll rises, WHO to reconsider declaring

emergency

* Stocks soft, safe-haven assets sought

* Asian stock markets: https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

By Tom Westbrook

SINGAPORE, Jan 30 (Reuters) - Asian stocks slipped while

gold and bonds were in demand on Thursday as worries about the

spread of a new virus from China sent investors heading for

safety.

The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged on

Wednesday, as expected, although bank Chairman Jerome Powell's

comments about a low inflation outlook added to U.S. government

bonds' appeal.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan

.MIAPJ0000PUS fell 0.8% to an almost seven-week low. Japan's

Nikkei .N225 fell 1%. Hong Kong's Hang Seng .HSI extended

Wednesday's drop and Taiwan's benchmark index .TWII opened

1.5% lower in its first session since the Lunar New Year break.

Yields on benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasuries, which fall when

prices rise, tumbled nearly 9 basis points overnight to 1.5790%,

and drifted lower to 1.5750% in Asian trade US10YT=RR , not far

above a three-month low of 1.5700% hit on Tuesday.

Gold extended overnight gains to rally 0.2% to $1,579.60 per

ounce XAU= .

U.S. Fed chairman Jerome Powell said, after keeping rates on

hold as expected, that the central bank "is not satisfied with

inflation running below 2% and it is not a ceiling." With the Fed's targeted core inflation running at 1.6%, the

remark was interpreted as scene-setting for a rate cut, with

markets now pricing in a 10% it could come in March. FEDWATCH

Powell also snuffed a small rally in equities on Wall

Street, saying the new coronavirus, which has been spreading

rapidly from its origin in Wuhan, China, added to global

uncertainty.

China's National Health Commission said on Thursday the

total number of confirmed deaths from the coronavirus in the

country climbed to 170 as of late Wednesday, as the number of

infected patients rose to 7,711.

The World Health Organisation's Emergency Committee is due

to reconvene on Thursday to decide whether the rapid spread of

the virus now constitutes a global emergency. "In a matter of days, the coronavirus has shuffled the

cards, and Fed policy is not sitting quite as comfortably," said

Alan Ruskin, Chief International Strategist at Deutsche Bank.

"The Fed, like everybody else, is going to have a tough time

quantifying the scale of the potentially large shock emanating

out of China."

Overnight, Wall Street turned from positive to flat after

the Fed held rates steady. The Dow Jones Industrial Average

.DJI and Nasdaq Composite .IXIC inched about 0.05% higher,

while the S&P 500 .SPX closed 0.1% lower. .N

U.S. stock futures ESc1 traded flat amid a slew of mixed

company results after hours.

Facebook Inc FB.O posted a blowout in costs and slowing

revenue growth, while Microsoft Corp MSFT.O and Tesla Inc

TSLA.O respectively posted profit growth and production

forecasts above expectations.

Seoul-listed Samsung 005930.KS , the world's biggest memory

chip maker and a bellwether of global tech demand, said its

December quarter profit fell by a third, as expected, but

forecast a turnaround in chip prices this quarter.

SARS 2.0?

Elsewhere, risk currencies and oil paused their recent slide

as investors assessed the possible fallout from the virus.

The offshore Chinese yuan CNH= , which had strengthened on

Wednesday, was again waning - though not by much - to 6.9750 per

dollar.

The export-driven Aussie dollar AUD=D3 was steady, while

the safe havens of the Japanese yen JPY= and Swiss franc

CHF= nudged a little higher.

Oil prices, which have been sliding in anticipation of the

virus hurting global demand, sat close to lows touched on

Monday. U.S. crude CLc1 last traded 0.56% lower at $53.03 a

barrel. Brent crude LCOc1 settled at $59.81 per barrel.

Most analysts have looked to the impact from the 2002-2003

spread of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS), which

pounded tourism and confidence, albeit briefly.

J.P. Morgan economists on Thursday said a big negative shock

in the current quarter could knock China's growth from a

previously-forecast 6.3% to 4.9%, for a year-on-year figure of

5.6%. ING economists made a similar forecast on Wednesday.

J.P. Morgan expects a rebound to 7% in the next quarter,

assuming current control measures can contain the virus.

"The SARS episode in 2003 suggests that the shock could lead

to a large impact on economic activity, especially as the fear

factor could restrict people's mobility," the bank's analysts

wrote.

"The spillover effect from China to the rest of world tends

to be much larger than the SARS episode, both in terms of a

demand shock and a supply shock," they added, pointing out

China's share of the world economy has more than trebled since

then.

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