Market Overview

European and US stock futures are trading mixed, while investors are paying close attention to economic numbers from China and Europe. Over in Europe, we saw the German Final CPI m/m number matching...

The U.S. economy could be heading into choppy waters, and investors may be wise to buckle up. Recent data suggest that storm clouds could be gathering, with declines in U.S. manufacturing, a...

Last week's decline hints at a growing unease among market participants. With the labor market softening further, is the Fed too late on rate cuts? The S&P 500’s recent struggles signal cautious...

The macro evidence suggests we are at a major turning point. It’s the sort of thing that could precipitate a reversal in the relative performance of commodities versus stocks. On its own, the stock...

Recessions don’t happen very often, and they don’t last very long. Most of the nine recessions since 1960 were caused by the tightening of monetary policy, which triggered a financial crisis and a...

This week all eyes will turn to prices, with the CPI report on Wednesday, the PPI report on Thursday, and import/export prices on Friday. Analysts expect the CPI report to show a 0.2%...

It certainly seems that technological advances make our lives better. Instead of writing a letter, stamping it, and mailing it (which was vastly more personal), we now send emails. Rather than...

Bloomberg reported on Tuesday after the stock market closed, that the Department of Justice (DOJ) had sent Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) a subpoena related to a potential antitrust investigation. We...

Stocks ended the day mostly flat, resembling a pause. It wouldn’t be surprising to see the market trade lower today, ahead of the payroll report, which is due tomorrow. Implied volatility will likely...

Part One of this article described the burgeoning bull steepening yield curve environment and what it implies about economic growth and Fed policy. It also discussed the three other predominant types...

We expect the Fed rate cut cycle to start soon and proceed gradually. Barring a financial crisis or a sharp and unexpected change in the path of inflation or unemployment, the upcoming rate-cutting...

September has just started and is already living up to its reputation of being the toughest month of the year for stocks. The stock market sold off after the open and August's weak M-PMI report was...

Stocks fell sharply yesterday, with the S&P 500 down more than 2% and the Nasdaq 100 dropping 3.15%. These declines aren’t entirely unexpected, and some of the drop is due to the end-of-day surge...

Stocks rallied to close out the last week of August. The $6.5 billion buy imbalance, which overwhelmed the market in an illiquid trading session ahead of the three-day weekend, could have had...