Market Overview

Fed remains on course for 3 interest rate cuts this year. Meanwhile, SNB has surprised the market with an interest rate cut. And, the Bank of England won't rush a pivot. In 2024, invest like the big...

It is long past the time that we face the fact that “Social Security” is facing a retirement crisis. In June 2022, we touched on this issue, discussing the stark realities confronting...

Since the beginning of March, the S&P 500 has been undergoing a nice consolidation, which passed between the day before yesterday and yesterday.However, the index did manage to hit the upper trend...

The Federal Reserve lifted its outlook for core PCE inflation in 2024 but reaffirmed expectations that interest rates will probably fall by the end of the year. Despite the apparent conflict, the...

Four fairly quick observations on this Federal Reserve meeting day, not all of which have anything to do with the Fed:1. The FOMC today announced unchanged policy for now on the overnight interest...

The sharp runup in US inflation in 2021-2022 revived the idea that a so-called real assets portfolio is crucial for asset allocation strategies.But with the peaking of inflation in mid-2022,...

Markets are on edge ahead of the Federal Reserve’s latest policy meeting. I believe the Fed will lean hawkish with its messaging as inflation fears return. Contrary to the consensus view, there...

It was an implied volatility day yesterday ahead of the VIX expiration this morning. The important level for the VIX is 14, and as of yesterday, the VIX closed at 13.8.Vixperiation officially...

Analysts are debating if last week’s sticky inflation news is the death knell for a June cut in interest rates by the Federal Reserve. This much is clear: the recent run of news isn’t...

Following the ECB, all eyes are on the Fed's upcoming interest rate decision, and the US central bank is anticipated to hold rates steady. Our proprietary tool now indicates a near-certainty of the...

Stocks rallied on Monday, ahead of an eventful two days. Meanwhile, the market is also busy repricing its rate path for the Fed policy, with Fed Futures now seeing fewer than three rate cuts in...

The Fed is expected to maintain interest rates at its March 20 meeting. Recent U.S. inflation reports have reduced expectations for a rate cut by June. Nike & FedEx to report Q3 earnings on March...

A new round of nowcasts continue to estimate that US economic activity will downshift in next month’s release of first-quarter GDP data. Today’s revised estimate is based on the median for...

Stocks finished the day lower following a hotter-than-expected PPI report, which sharply increased rates and the dollar, helping widen credit spreads.The 10-year rate rose by ten bps on the day, and...