Market Overview

The inflation data forecasts are pointing toward two contrasting scenarios The Core CPI could decline, while the CPI could inch up But the question still remains: How will the actual data affect the...

How US inflation report affects the US dollar and stocks

Markets are torn. Will the ECB hike this week or not? We think it will, but we look at how different scenarios can impact rates and FX. Even in our base case, we suspect that convincing markets that...

In the short-run, energy stocks are outperforming the S&P 500.The Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) is at its lowest point since 1983, at 347 million barrels. Established in 1975 from the fallout...

Global markets have enjoyed a strong rebound this year following 2022’s rout, but recent turbulence suggests that previous highs reached will remain elusive for the near term.The good news for...

Investors in Europe and the US are preparing for a volatile week as the economic docket is full of fireworks. Since last week, concerns about the Fed’s interest rate cycle have begun to surface...

Since the beginning of the year, economic data has continued to defy the recession calls of 2022. Therefore, it is unsurprising that economic data surprised analysts’ more dire predictions last...

Investors should brace for more volatility next week as the stock market faces a triple whammy of risk events. U.S. CPI inflation, the latest retail sales figures, and a read on wholesale prices will...

Stronger headwinds may be brewing for the US economic outlook, but next month’s third-quarter GDP report looks set to post a moderately firmer growth rate, based on the median estimate via...

A couple of months ago, in this article, I argued that one characteristic of higher-inflation environments is that the volatility of inflation numbers is also high.While it does not automatically...

September and October are infamous for major bouts of volatility striking markets Amid a softening consumer landscape and uncertain Fed policy, industry experts will share their insights and what...

Most investors believe that U.S. government debt is risk-free. Why shouldn’t they, every economic and financial textbook, media outlet, and bond guru say so?Did you know it used to be a fact...

Financial markets have had a bumpy ride lately, inspiring fresh concerns that this year’s rebound from 2022’s sharp loss has run its course. It’s premature to dismiss that...

We rationalize why US longer tenor rates are rising – basically, the curve is inverted and getting used to discounting structurally higher rates. If so, reversion to a normal curve must mean...