Market Overview

The CPI for April came in pretty close to expectations. CPI came in at 0.31% m/m, and 0.29% on core, versus a priori expectations for 0.37% and 0.30%. This relative accuracy does not necessarily mean...

The bulls cleared another hurdle. The first-quarter earnings season has been strong. With 92% of S&P 500 companies reporting, the EPS beat rate is 78%, near the five-year average. More impressive...

Since the pandemic-related bazooka of fiscal stimulus, the outstanding Federal debt has risen appreciably. In nominal dollar terms, the recent debt surge is mindboggling. However, the increase is on...

The highly anticipated April CPI report comes out on Wednesday morning with the S&P 500 trading just below its all-time high. Headline annual inflation is seen rising 3.4% and core CPI is...

It was a volatile trading session, with stocks having some big swings to start the day following the PPI and then moving higher late in the day. The IV levels for shorted dated rose today, while...

US consumer inflation data was surprisingly firm in March, raising the stakes for tomorrow’s April report (Wed., May 15). Another round of disappointing numbers would arguably confirm that the recent...

Stocks traded mostly flat yesterday as investors geared up for a hectic week of economic data. The PPI report will be released soon, followed by the CPI report on Wednesday and retail sales on...

As an advocate of sound fiscal policy and a strong believer in the power of free markets, I find Argentina's recent economic overhaul under President Javier Milei not just refreshing but essential in...

Stocks closed flattish on Friday after a weaker-than-expected University of Michigan report showed that consumer confidence plunged and inflation expectations rose.The report caused a rather sharp...

When the yield curve flattens and eventually inverts, you worry.But it’s when a recession hits, the Fed cuts rates and the curve steepens that you become s**t scared. Yield curve dynamics...

When it comes to the financial markets, investors have a litany of investment vehicles to choose from. The choices are nearly unlimited, from brokered certificates of deposit to complex derivative...

Investors are gearing up for what is expected to be an eventful week ahead. CPI inflation and retail sales data will be in focus. In addition, Home Depot and Walmart report quarterly earnings. Looking...

There are many ways to monitor recession risk, but any one indicator in isolation is flawed. Context in the form of reviewing a wide variety of metrics is essential for minimizing noise. But in the...

Housing is among the most interest-rate sensitive sectors of the economy. It’s also one of the most cyclical and crucial inputs for the business cycle. On that basis, one could reasonably expect...