Market Overview

Fed officials gather for their annual symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, this week. All eyes will be on Fed Chair Powell’s keynote speech in which he will give his latest views on interest...

This week is marked by non-relevant economic data to report, with the most significant event being the Jackson Hole meeting scheduled for Friday. The speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell...

All the major asset classes fell last week, extending a run of risk-off sentiment of late based on a set of ETF proxies. Investors are struggling to decide if the latest decline is noise or marks the...

The stock market is cyclical and corrections are normal The best way to avoid getting caught up in short-term volatility is to focus on the long term Corrections can be scary, but they are also an...

Since the beginning of 2022, the media has regularly warned a recession is coming. As we suggested previously, if a recession DID occur, it would be the most well-forecasted recession ever on...

It’s been clear for some time that US recession risk has been sliding in recent months, but this week’s updates of a widely followed GDP nowcast published by the Atlanta Fed has been...

The Fed’s next rate move and its higher-for-longer policy mantra are predicated on high and sticky inflation. Inflation has fallen nicely from its peak but not enough to sway the Fed to...

Retail sales in the US have been resilient in the first half of 2023, despite concerns about a recession However, there are some warning signs that signal a slowdown in the coming months Earnings from...

Government bonds or stocks: If you were picking an asset class to outperform over the next 18-24 months, which would you choose?Such was an interesting point made by Greg Feirman last week. To...

The LERI shows Q2 2023 ended with the highest level of corporate uncertainty in the last year Retail in the spotlight this week: HD, TGT, TJX, WMT, ROST Upcoming potential surprise:...

Unusual turbulence has overtaken the Credit Ratings world in 2023 Earlier this year, the SVB crisis sparked doubts about Agencies' ability to predict a crisis Now, Moody's and Fitch's subsequent US...

So many of you asked me to do a video on this topic so here it is.

Tax receipts are falling, which has historically preceded economic recessions. In a recent post, we discussed the issue of rising debt levels on economic growth and increasing debt levels. To...

The consumer price index data published this morning that showed a continuation of the disinflationary forces was well received by the markets initially as traders thought this leaves the door open...