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GLOBAL MARKETS-Groggy Europe keeps stocks shy of record highs

Published 13/08/2020, 10:23
© Reuters.
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* US stimulus talks stall, trade fears abound
* S&P 500 closed just points off record high
* STOXX 600 set to snap four-day winning streak
* Reuters US jobless poll https://emea1.views.cp.thomsonreuters.com/Apps/econ-polls?RIC=EUECOS=ECI

By Marc Jones
LONDON, Aug 13 (Reuters) - World stocks' return to record
highs looked set to be delayed for another day on Thursday, as
stalemate in U.S. stimulus talks, trade war angst in both Europe
and China and the COVID-19 pandemic all reined the bulls back.
A leap from Japan's Nikkei in Asia .T after Wall Street's
S&P 500 had finished just points off its record high .N had
bolstered hopes of a breakthrough, but Europe had other ideas.
The STOXX 600 .STOXX was on course to snap a four-day
winning streak after Washington said it would maintain 15%
tariffs on planes and 25% tariffs on other European goods, while
tourism giant TUI TUIT.L sank 4% as it reported an
eye-watering 1.1 billion euro loss. .EU
"Although people think things are getting better, there is
still so much uncertainty," said Louise Dudley, a portfolio
manager at Federated Hermes in London.
The global rally has seen MSCI's world index .MIWD00000PUS
rise 50% since its March lows to stand just 1.4% off its
all-time high. Dudley said it still had room to run, especially
with companies cutting costs and working-from-home arrangements
helping high-flying tech and internet stocks.
In the currency and bond markets, normal service resumed as
a decline in hopes for a compromise between Republicans and
Democrats over additional stimulus for the U.S. economy pushed
the dollar =USD down 0.3% against most of its peers. /FRX
A selloff in benchmark government bond markets also eased,
as investors digested the biggest ever 10-year U.S. debt sale
and some surprisingly strong U.S. inflation figures.
Benchmark German 10-year government yields were down 1.2
basis points at -0.45% DE10YT=RR . Consumer prices there,
harmonised for comparability with other European countries, were
confirmed down 0.5% in July from the previous month.
Traders will be watching for the U.S. initial jobless claims
later in the day, with economists polled by Reuters expecting a
fall.
"The volatility of yields is just a reality that we have to
deal with at the moment." said Brian Jacobsen, at Wells Fargo
Asset Management.
Central banks like the U.S. Federal Reserve are "not going
to take the punch bowl away this time", he said. "In fact, they
are going to wait until the party is very much over until they
take it away."

JAPAN JUMP
In Asia, Japanese stocks were the main mover, soaring 1.8%
to a six-month peak .N225 on gains from chip firms. .T
Markets are still eagerly awaiting a breakthrough in
wrangling over the next U.S. stimulus package, though with
little sign of progress the euro EUR= poked back above $1.18
and Turkey's troubled lira TRY= was able to grab some respite.
EMRG/FRX
The Australian dollar AUD= nudged ahead too after
better-than-expected jobs figures - though the fact that
unemployment topped a million for the first time ever capped
gains.
Australia was also the outlier in regional equity markets,
with selling of communications giant Telstra TLS.AX after a
profit plunge dragging on the index .AXJO . Korea's Kospi .KS11 led gains in other markets outside
Japan, rising 0.7% to a two-year high, while in commodities, oil
mostly clung to solid gains made overnight when a drop in U.S.
crude inventories spurred hopes that fuel demand is recovering.
O/R
Brent crude futures LCOc1 were last 0.2% softer at $45.33
a barrel which was roughly where it was before COVID-19 began to
spread out of Asia, while U.S. crude CLc1 dipped by the same
margin to $42.60 a barrel.
"People are looking at the glass half full, and testing the
waters," said Bank of Singapore currency analyst Moh Siong Sim.

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Global assets http://tmsnrt.rs/2jvdmXl
Global currencies vs. dollar http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh
Emerging markets http://tmsnrt.rs/2ihRugV
MSCI All Country Wolrd Index Market Cap http://tmsnrt.rs/2EmTD6j
2020 asset performance http://tmsnrt.rs/2yaDPgn
Reuters US jobless data poll https://emea1.views.cp.thomsonreuters.com/Apps/econ-polls?RIC=EUECOS=ECI
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