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Stocks finished higher after the CPI report fell below analysts’ expectations and swap pricing. The CPI headline y/y and m/m missed swap pricing, something we haven’t seen frequently in recent...
A surprise 0.2% MoM core CPI inflation print after a similar reading for April core PCE deflator offers good news for the Fed in its fight to ease price pressures. This needs to become the trend...
The CPI report for May was definitely good news. In April, core CPI was +0.29% and Median CPI was +0.35%; this month those figures were +0.16% for core and +0.25% (est) for median. That would be the...
Investors are bracing for the Federal Reserve’s latest policy decision after better-than-expected May CPI. All eyes are now on Powell's press conference after the decision. Investors should now be...
Here's the rundown for today's FOMC meeting and the 4 things to watch. No rate change does not mean no volatility for forex, stocks + gold 2pm ET - Fed Rate decision, Dot Plot, Economic...
More than a few individuals were active in the markets in 1999-2000, but many participants today were not. I remember looking at charts and writing about the craziness in markets as the fears of...
Stocks finished flat on an uneventful trading session. However, the market felt more risk-off with the 1-month implied correlation index and the VIX moving higher. Typically, when the VIX and the...
Recent economic estimates suggest US growth has slowed compared with previous estimates, but today’s revised GDP nowcast for the second quarter still points to a modest pickup in output over Q1. The...
It is always interesting when commodity prices rise. The market produces various narratives to suggest why prices will keep growing indefinitely. Such applies to all commodities, from oil to orange...
Investing doesn't have to be daunting if you focus on realistic strategies and asset allocation. Understanding your goals, circumstances, and risk tolerance is key to creating a balanced...
Stocks finished the day flat ahead of the job report, which seems to be coming ahead of a lot of back-and-forth as to whether the job market is crumbling or not. I have a feeling that is not going to...
Credit card and auto loans are increasing the risk on bank balance sheets. The largest holders of these loans include JP Morgan, Citibank, and Capital One. You have to engage in due diligence...
We continue with our discussion of investment ideas that could benefit from upgrading and expanding the power grid to accommodate surging demand from AI data centers and EVs. This third and final...
It is becoming increasingly clear that someone is offside; it’s just a matter of who. I know talking about credit spreads and implied correlations, and the Mexican peso is not en vogue or as hot as...