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Recently, US House Speaker McCarthy tweeted this: And although it sounds like common sense, it’s dead wrong. The government doesn’t need money to spend money. The government creates money...
May is expected to be another volatile month on Wall Street. Investor focus will be on the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting, the monthly jobs report, inflation data, more earnings, and the U.S....
The US economy expanded at a much slower rate than expected in the first quarter, a prelude to recession, according to some forecasters. It would be naïve to rule out the possibility in the...
Conviction (kan-vik-shan): noun, a strong persuasion or belief; the state of being convinced.In life, there are things that we should be convicted and committed to. For example, the love for our...
So, I suppose the good news is that policymakers have stopped pretending that prices will go back down to the pre-pandemic levels. My friend Andy Fately (@fx_poet) in his daily note today called to...
The US debt ceiling has reached its limit, causing concern among investors. Biden administration needs to find a resolution before August 18th to avoid a potential crisis. As this unfolds, US debt...
One of the most common perspectives that I have seen in the market through my investing career is the old adage that is often repeated by Larry Kudlow: “Earnings are the mother’s milk of...
Forecasts of recession seem to be flowing from all corners these days. Still, this week’s initial estimate of economic activity for the first quarter (Apr. 27) is expected to show that growth...
The most aggressive central bank tightening cycle for decades is reaching its finale. This is our definitive guide to global central banks as we enter another round of crucial meetings over the next...
We assess this year's market themes against our 2023 outlook calls. Rates remain range-bound, and curves have only steepened moderately, but rates differentials keep narrowing. We expect little...
In this week’s newsletter, we’re going to run through the top 5 market charts on our radar right now.Let’s dive right in...GMI Chart 1: Bond YieldsUS 2-year bond yields seem to be...
Inflation continues to head lower, but not at the desired pace. And, as market volatility rises, investors should try and readjust their portfolios. The 60/40 portfolio is a great way to do that as it...
Straight from the playbook of Logan Roy's kids. Good for XAU/USD?
There is a lot of important economic data to look forward to at the end of this week, including the release of GDP figures on Thursday and the PCE on Friday, along with the employment cost index and...
Nowcasting the business cycle isn’t getting any easier. Despite a firehose of data and an expanding list of analytical techniques, benchmarks, and related research at researchers’...