Market Overview

2022 held a lot of hard lessons for investors This bear market is unique, but that doesn't mean it will last forever There is reason to think next year will be different We are approaching the close...

Investing in US stocks by way of risk factors has been a humbling experience this year. Short of a miraculous rally between now and Friday’s close, this realm of financial engineering is on...

In this year’s write-up, I will review my ten predictions for 2023. Anything can happen, but this exercise has a point, which helps me lay out a game plan and thought process for the path that...

Trading and investing are much more complex and challenging than most people think. While countless books have been written about how to trade and invest, most skip over what I consider to be the...

Fed’s Powell affirms rate hikes to continue in 2023, but markets show doubt Economist Roubini sees a prolonged recession as issues mount Central bankers need to do a better job, and more dissent...

There was nothing at all surprising about the Fed leaning against the exuberance of the market last week The Fed's target of a 2% inflation rate remains very far-fetched In the meantime, higher...

Investors are closely watching earnings and economic data releases to gauge the impact of the Federal Reserve's interest-rate hikes on the U.S. economy The Fed has been raising interest rates in an...

The bond market seems to be unimpressed by the Fed’s policy path Bond yields have hardly budged since this week’s FOMC meeting The Fed will need to get financial conditions to tighten to...

The answer, of course, depends on how soon inflation shows convincing signs of behaving. There are hints that we’re now in the early phase of post-peak inflation. Today’s update on...

The financial markets have been volatile this year, to say the least. And much of the volatility has been tied to inflationary concerns and rising interest rates via the Federal Reserve.That said,...

Inverted yield hikes in U.S. and Europe are forecasting recession Investor focus in Fed’s meeting is on inflation and rate forecasts Policymakers at the ECB and the Bank of England have mixed...

Inflation and the Fed once again are taking center stage for investors. First, were signs of wages inflation being hotter than expected to start December. Next came an unwelcome increase in the...

Core CPI is more likely to surprise to the upside than to the downside on Tuesday Still, save for an outlier inflation reading, the Fed will raise rates by 50bps on Wednesday The equity market is...

Unless there is a huge CPI surprise, Fed is slated to raise rates by 0.5% The Fed could make a hawkish statement, which could rile markets There are two levels of market drivers: (1) tension between...