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The September jobs report was the first market-shaking event for volatility traders CPI, Retail Sales, and corporate earnings begin this week FOMC rate decision and the U.S. midterm elections take...
Last week, I reminded readers that high-inflation environments are associated with lower equity multiples, all else being equal, and that that phenomenon has been true for more than a hundred years....
Q3 earnings season expected to be a major test for the market S&P 500 Q3 earnings growth of 2.9% and revenue growth of 8.7% Energy, Industrials likely to stand out Financials, Communication...
I was thinking about the market and what is potentially behind this stupid rally, and at heart, this seems like nothing more than an oversold bounce, given a lot of bond market dislocation last week....
UK government to keep top tax rate but credibility badly damaged Eurozone inflation at 10% galvanizes ECB policymakers US investors see light at the end of the tunnel The British government has...
Stepping into the spooky month (from a historical market perspective, of course) of October, we need to take administrative notice of the fact that the S&P 500 has fallen more than 8% in three of...
This week, we will again get several opportunities to reconsider the received wisdom that when mortgage rates rise, home prices must fall. Last week, median home prices in the Existing Home Sales...
Let's be frank: The third quarter was a mess for stocks. It doesn't much matter where the stocks were traded, except this: U.S. stocks in September were not a place you wanted to be.The Dow Jones...
Stocks haven’t shown the typical type of fear associated with a bottom Valuations are still high The S&P 500 may need to fall below 3,200 The S&P 500 is down more than 20% on the year...
Bank of England fails to reassure investors with emergency rate hike Bond yields soar amid talk of a historic bear market Bank of Japan defies trend but yen’s fall requires intervention The UK...
Major currencies have been in freefall over the last few months as the Fed remains steadfast in its goal to tame U.S. inflation The fixed-income market has become unglued as Forex volatility surges A...
Positive inflation-adjusted return on default-risk-free Treasuries/corporate bonds Higher market rates means a much lower S&P 500 equity risk premium Consider asset allocation tweaks but wholesale...
This week we will again get several opportunities to reconsider the received wisdom that when mortgage rates rise, home prices must fall. Last week, median home prices in the existing home sales...
An August poll showed that nearly half of millennials surveyed claimed to have sold investments over the past year Other age groups largely kept with their portfolio plan With a big stock market drop...
2-year Treasury surged above 4% following the FOMC meeting The 2-year may now be heading to around 4.5% This should result in great stock market volatility The 2-year Treasury rate moved above 4%...