Market Overview

U.S. stocks suffered their worst losses since 2008 The market could move higher in 2023 if the Fed slows interest-rate hikes and geopolitical tensions calm down But don’t expect interest rates...

There may be no recession in 2023, just a period of slower growth It will allow the Fed to keep financial conditions tight. Tight financial conditions mean a stronger dollar, higher rates, and...

2022 held a lot of hard lessons for investors This bear market is unique, but that doesn't mean it will last forever There is reason to think next year will be different We are approaching the close...

Investing in US stocks by way of risk factors has been a humbling experience this year. Short of a miraculous rally between now and Friday’s close, this realm of financial engineering is on...

In this year’s write-up, I will review my ten predictions for 2023. Anything can happen, but this exercise has a point, which helps me lay out a game plan and thought process for the path that...

Trading and investing are much more complex and challenging than most people think. While countless books have been written about how to trade and invest, most skip over what I consider to be the...

There was nothing at all surprising about the Fed leaning against the exuberance of the market last week The Fed's target of a 2% inflation rate remains very far-fetched In the meantime, higher...

The week of Dec. 19 will be anything but slow and quiet. There will be a ton of economic data, and the highlights won’t come until Friday when we get PCE, the University of Michigan, durable...

The bond market seems to be unimpressed by the Fed’s policy path Bond yields have hardly budged since this week’s FOMC meeting The Fed will need to get financial conditions to tighten to...

GoldGold thoroughly enjoyed the gains on the back of the dollar index's weakness, which is sitting near the five and half month low. Traders are more optimistic about gold prices as there are...

The answer, of course, depends on how soon inflation shows convincing signs of behaving. There are hints that we’re now in the early phase of post-peak inflation. Today’s update on...

The financial markets have been volatile this year, to say the least. And much of the volatility has been tied to inflationary concerns and rising interest rates via the Federal Reserve.That said,...

Inverted yield hikes in U.S. and Europe are forecasting recession Investor focus in Fed’s meeting is on inflation and rate forecasts Policymakers at the ECB and the Bank of England have mixed...

Inflation and the Fed once again are taking center stage for investors. First, were signs of wages inflation being hotter than expected to start December. Next came an unwelcome increase in the...