GLOBAL MARKETS-Rally hits the buffers ahead of U.S.-China trade deal

Published 14/01/2020, 10:37
Updated 14/01/2020, 10:46
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Rally hits the buffers ahead of U.S.-China trade deal

* Europe drops after world stocks hit record high in Asia

* Safe-harbour bonds and yen make ground

* Rand and lira take the pain in emerging markets

* World FX rates in 2020 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Marc Jones

LONDON, Jan 14 (Reuters) - Europe's markets were struck by a

bout of weakness on Tuesday, as traders cashed in on recent

record highs and waited for a long-awaited U.S.-China trade deal

and the first flurries of the Wall Street earnings season.

It had been smooth sailing in Asia. MSCI's world stocks

index set a new record high after reassuring Chinese data and

Washington had said it no longer deemed Beijing a currency

manipulator, but Europe's open saw the currents turn.

Dealers struggled to put their finger on the exact cause but

London, Frankfurt and Paris all took an early dip to leave the

regional STOXX 600 .STOXX as much as 0.5% lower and bonds and

other safe-haven assets suddenly back in demand. GVD/EUR

"You had some good news in terms of China coming off the

list of currency manipulators and so you would have expected

bond prices to extend losses," said Andy Cossor, a rates

strategist at DZ Bank in Frankfurt.

"So, I think it might be a case that people got ahead of

themselves yesterday and are covering short positions."

A number of heavyweight emerging market currencies were on

the ropes too. The highly-sensitive South African rand hit a

three-week low and Turkey's lira took its biggest tumble since

mid-December. EMRG/FRX

China's yuan also backed off its highest since July hit

overnight after the U.S. Treasury Department on Monday said

China should no longer be designated a currency manipulator - a

label it applied as the yuan dropped in August. Beijing, meanwhile, had given its approval too by fixing the

yuan's official trading-band midpoint at its firmest in more

than five months.

China has also pledged to buy an additional almost $80

billion of U.S. manufactured goods over the next two years, plus

more than $50 billion extra in energy supplies, according to a

source briefed on a trade deal.

The change in the mood in Europe had also come as Wall

Street and other U.S. futures turned lower after their latest

record highs on Monday ESc1 .

The moves coincided with the arrival of a Chinese delegation

in Washington ahead of Wednesday's signing of the Phase 1 trade

agreement, seen as calming a dispute that has upended the world

economy. "There have been a number of false starts," said Vishnu

Varathan, head of economics at Mizuho Bank in Singapore.

"The fact that this is really coming to the moment when the

rubber hits the road is the most tangible evidence of traction

in starting to resolve issues, that's what's driving optimism."

In contrast to Europe's swoon, Japan's Nikkei .N225 had

added 0.7% overnight to hit its highest in a month. Australian

shares rose by the same margin to close at a record .AXJO .

Hong Kong's Hang Seng .HSI and Shanghai blue chips

.CSI300 also hit multi-month peaks before running out of

steam.

United States Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer told

Fox Business late on Monday that the Chinese translation of the

deal's text was almost done. "We're going to make

it public on Wednesday before the signing," he said.

NEW SEASON

In tandem with the swings, gold began to claw off a two-week

low, although it was still around 0.3% weaker for the day as a

whole at $1543 per ounce. GOL/

Ten-year Treasury note yields US10YT=RR dropped a couple

of ticks 1.8354% compared with the 1.85% they had been at in

Asia.

In currency markets, the yen also stabilised after weakening

past the 110 yen-per-dollar mark, and the Swiss franc was

marginally higher against a lifeless euro.

Besides the trade deal, investors are also looking to U.S.

inflation data due at 1330 GMT - with consensus expectations for

it to hold steady at 0.2% in December - and the beginning of the

fourth-quarter U.S. company results season.

Big banks JPMorgan Chase & Co JPM.N , Citigroup Inc C.N

and Wells Fargo & Co WFC.N are due to report earnings before

market open on Tuesday.

U.S. Treasury drops China currency manipulator label ahead of

trade deal signing White House plans US-China Phase 1 ceremony, still no final

deal text Dec yuan-denominated exports up 9%, imports up 17.7%

Lighthizer says nearly done with translation of China trade

deal businesses hold back, U.S. consumers seen boosting

big banks' profits ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>

(Additional Reporting by Tom Westbrook in Singapore and Dhara

Ranasinghe in London, Editing by William Maclean)

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