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GLOBAL MARKETS-Shares whacked lower as Trump says China trade deal may come only after Nov 2020 election

Published 03/12/2019, 12:50
Updated 03/12/2019, 12:54
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Shares whacked lower as Trump says China trade deal may come only after Nov 2020 election
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* MSCI World flat

* European shares 0.3% higher after Monday's big falls

* U.S. tariffs on Brazil and Argentina 'effective

immediately'

* German politics keep bonds under pressure

(Releads, updates throughout, adds quotes)

By Sujata Rao

LONDON, Dec 3 (Reuters) - European shares fell back into the

red on Tuesday, abandoning earlier efforts to claw their way

back from three days of falls, as U.S. President Donald Trump

said a trade deal with China might be delayed until after

November 2020 elections.

Those comments, made as Trump landed in Britain for a NATO

summit, also sent the offshore-traded Chinese yuan to near

five-week lows CNH=D3 . France, the latest U.S. trade war

target, saw shares tumble more than 0.6% to a one-month low

.FCHI .

A pan-European equity index .STOXX , fell 0.2%, giving up

earlier modest gains and extending Monday's 1.6% tumble which

was its biggest one-day loss in two months. U.S. stock futures

also turned negative, with S&P 500 futures down 0.4% ESc1 .

Trump's willingness to open new fronts in the trade war

despite signs of economic damage has unnerved markets.

His latest comments appear to dash hopes that an agreement

with China could be reached before another round of tariff hikes

kicks in on Dec. 15, and suggests talks could in fact could drag

on for another year.

Markets had fallen sharply on Monday after Trump tweeted he

would slap tariffs on Brazil and Argentina for what he saw as

both countries' "massive devaluation of their currencies."

The United States then threatened duties of up to 100% on

French goods from champagne to handbags because of a digital

services tax that Washington says harms U.S. tech companies.

"Each step back and each step forward is just part of a slow

trend towards increased barriers to international trade," said

Jonathan Bell, CIO of Stanhope Capital.

"The market's taken an optimistic view so far this year on

the likelihood of a successful outcome to trade negotiations and

we worry ... the market may turn back to being more concerned."

Shares in some French luxury goods firms have been hit hard,

with LVMH LVMH.PA shedding almost 2% to one-month lows and

champagne maker Vranken Pommery down 0.5% VRKP.PA .

"If history is any guide the Europeans are likely to find

U.S. crosshairs start to move increasingly their way, the closer

to next year's U.S. election we get," CMC Markets told clients.

MSCI's world equity index is down for the fourth day in a

row to one-week lows .MIWD00000PUS . There were also hefty

losses across Asian bourses .MIAPJ0000PUS .N225 .AXJO

earlier in the day.

Investors are waiting for the next developments on the trade

front. China has already barred U.S. military ships and aircraft

from Hong Kong in response to U.S. support for pro-democracy

protesters in the Chinese-ruled territory. Fears that the prolonged tariff spat will snuff out any

upturn in global growth were fanned on Monday when the U.S.

Institute for Supply Management (ISM) said manufacturing had

contracted for a fourth straight month as new orders slid.

That dampened the cheer from upbeat Chinese factory surveys

as well as higher-than-expected manufacturing and inflation

readings from the euro zone. Hopes are being pinned on the U.S. consumer to keep the

economy afloat. Cyber Monday sales were expected to hit a record

following $11.6 billion in online sales during the Thanksgiving

and Black Friday shopping bonanza.

Trump's hints of trade deal delays sent bond yields tumbling

as investors dumped stocks, however, with 10-year U.S. Treasury

yields falling 5 basis points to 1.79% from the previous day's

two-week high US10YT=RR .

German bond yields meanwhile, slipped off three-week highs

DE10YT=RR but bond prices are likely to stay under pressure

amid renewed risks of early elections or a minority government

in the biggest euro zone economy. The safe-haven bid was in evidence on currency markets too,

with the yen at a one-week high to the dollar JPY=D3 . The euro

edged away from a near two-week peak versus the greenback

EUR=EBS . The dollar index slipped to a two-week low .DXY .

"This may have run its course, but there's no reason to

chase the dollar's upside from here," Daiwa Securities' foreign

exchange strategist Yukio Ishizuki said, noting that the weak

manufacturing data had forced many to cut long dollar positions.

"Trade friction remains a lingering threat, which is not

good for market sentiment."

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