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GLOBAL MARKETS-Coronavirus uncertainty subdues global shares, dollar eases after rally

Published 10/02/2020, 13:23
Updated 10/02/2020, 13:28
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Coronavirus uncertainty subdues global shares, dollar eases after rally

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2020 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

* Coronavirus death toll climbs past 900, exceeds SARS toll

of 774

* European shares ease on virus uncertainty

* Dollar takes breather after rally last week

* Irish stocks fall after election result

By Ritvik Carvalho

LONDON, Feb 10 (Reuters) - Global shares sank on Monday as

the death toll from a coronavirus outbreak exceeded the SARS

epidemic of two decades ago, though Chinese shares rose as

authorities lifted some work and travel curbs, helping

businesses to resume operations.

The dollar took a breather, edging lower against a basket of

peers after gaining over 1% last week. The greenback gained last

week as a strong U.S. employment report stood in contrast to

both the expected economic hit to China from the virus and

weakness in the euro zone from weak German industrial numbers in

December.

European shares edged lower as fears over the coronavirus'

economic impact still weighed on sentiment. The pan-European

STOXX 600 .STOXX index was down 0.1% by midday in London.

Ireland's main index .ISEQ fell as much as 1.2%, mainly

dragged down by banks after Irish nationalist party Sinn Fein

secured almost a quarter of first-preference votes in a weekend

general election. MSCI's All Country World Index .MIWD00000PUS , which tracks

shares across 47 countries, was down 0.14%.

Shares in Asia registered a mixed performance.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan

.MIAPJ0000PUS reversed some of its early losses but was still

down 0.3%. Japan's Nikkei .N225 was off 0.6%, South Korea's

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KOSPI .KS11 was 0.5% weaker while Australia's benchmark index

.AXJO eased 0.14%.

China's indexes were the only ones in the black in Asia with

the blue-chip index .CSI300 adding 0.4% and Shanghai's SSE

Composite .SSEC up 0.5%.

More than 900 people have so far died mainly in China's

central Hubei province as of Sunday with most of the new deaths

in the provincial capital of Wuhan, the epicentre of the

outbreak.

To contain the spread, China's government had ordered

lockdowns, cancelled flights and shut schools in many cities.

But on Monday, workers began trickling back to offices and

factories though a large number of workplaces remain closed and

many white-collar workers will continue to work from home.

"Despite the ongoing uncertainty, we continue to filter out

the short-term noise and remain overweight emerging market

equities," said Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS

Global Wealth Management in a note to clients.

"While we continue to monitor the risks to our position, we

are optimistic that the decisive actions taken by governments

will bring the outbreak under control."

The outbreak has killed more people than the SARS epidemic

did globally in 2002/2003. The virus has also spread to at least

27 countries and territories, infecting more than 330 people

overseas.

Over the weekend, an American hospitalised in the central

city of Wuhan became the first confirmed non-Chinese victim of

the virus. A Japanese man who also died there was another

suspected victim.

Monday's losses in Asia extended from Wall Street on Friday

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where the Dow .DJI fell 0.9%, the S&P 500 .SPX declined 0.5%

while the Nasdaq .IXIC lost 0.5%.

U.S. stock looked set to open positive on Monday however,

with E-mini futures for the S&P 500 up 0.04%.

Stock markets have recovered some ground since the initial

news of the outbreak impacted markets, as the rate of increase

of reported cases appears to slow.

"Whether the coronavirus-related relief is lasting depends

on whether this epidemic can ultimately be contained. The new

global infections numbers hint at some stabilization suggesting

that the speed of the spreading of this virus has come down,"

said Martin Wolburg, senior economist at Generali Investments in

a note to clients.

"The data imply that the spreading of the epidemic could

stall by the end of February. Therefore, we view last week's

equity market improvement as backed by fundamentals and continue

to see the epidemic as a buying opportunity."

Also helping markets has been stimulus from China's central

bank, which has taken a raft of measures to support the economy,

including reducing interest rates and flushing the market with

liquidity. From Monday, it will provide special funds for banks

to re-lend to businesses working to combat the virus.

Despite the measures, analysts expect the world economy to

take a hit from an expected slowdown in China.

"We've cut our forecast for first quarter growth in China

from 5% y/y to 3% y/y (on our CAP measure)," said Neil Shearing,

group chief economist at Capital Economics in a note.

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"The inherent uncertainty surrounding the spread of the

virus makes it virtually impossible to quantify the wider impact

on the world economy. But China's role at the centre of global

supply chains increases the likelihood that the disruption

spreads to other countries."

In commodities, Brent crude LCOc1 futures eased 0.42% to

$54.24 a barrel while U.S. crude CLc1 futures fell 0.38% to

$50.13 a barrel.

Since Jan. 17, oil prices have fallen by 14% while copper is

down around 10%.

Spot gold gained 0.12% to trade at $1,572 an ounce. XAU=

Stocks stabilize as pace of reported virus infections slows https://tmsnrt.rs/2tyLx6W

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